Democratic Primary Betting

PollDateSample
Sanders
Spread
RCP Average3/29 - 4/7--60.832.0Biden +28.8
4/5 - 4/7586 RV6232Biden +30
4/3 - 4/6462 RV6530Biden +35
3/30 - 4/513346 RV6136Biden +25
3/29 - 4/1447 RV6230Biden +32
3/29 - 3/30425 RV5432Biden +22
3/29 - 3/31573 LV5540Biden +15
3/23 - 3/2915101 RV6136Biden +25
3/24 - 3/26903 RV5832Biden +26
3/22 - 3/25388 RV5539Biden +16
3/22 - 3/24547 LV5739Biden +18
3/18 - 3/241981 RV5334Biden +19
3/16 - 3/2216180 LV6036Biden +24
3/18 - 3/19519 RV5442Biden +12
3/15 - 3/17551 LV5736Biden +21
3/13 - 3/16458 RV4839Biden +9
3/14 - 3/15894 RV5531Biden +24
3/11 - 3/158869 LV5837Biden +21
3/11 - 3/13438 LV6132Biden +29
3/11 - 3/112072 LV5935Biden +24
3/8 - 3/10573 RV5338Biden +15
3/8 - 3/9442 RV5528Biden +27
3/6 - 3/9420 RV5433Biden +21
3/5 - 3/8559 RV5435Biden +19
3/5 - 3/89593 RV5638Biden +18
3/4 - 3/7540 RV5236Biden +16
3/5 - 3/51390 LV5438Biden +16
3/4 - 3/5474 RV4532Biden +13
3/2 - 3/3961 LV3628Biden +8
3/1 - 3/3722 RV2824Biden +4
3/1 - 3/2449 RV2823Biden +5
3/1 - 3/12656 LV2629Sanders +3
2/28 - 3/2469 RV1829Sanders +11
2/26 - 2/28980 RV2025Sanders +5
2/26 - 2/275334 LV2133Sanders +12
2/20 - 2/29325 RV2023Sanders +3
2/23 - 2/26507 LV1831Sanders +13
2/23 - 2/25584 RV2030Sanders +10
2/23 - 2/24470 RV1728Sanders +9
2/19 - 2/251808 RV1729Sanders +12
2/20 - 2/226498 LV1728Sanders +9
2/16 - 2/18573 LV2229Sanders +7
2/16 - 2/18555 LV1824Sanders +6
2/14 - 2/17408 RV1632Sanders +16
2/14 - 2/17426 LV1527Sanders +12
2/14 - 2/17385 RV1528Sanders +11
2/13 - 2/171022 LV1829Sanders +11
2/13 - 2/16527 RV1531Sanders +12
2/14 - 2/15449 RV1922Sanders +3

Biden and VP Kamala Harris have equal odds of +200 to be the 2024 Democratic nominee, with Elizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg next in the queue at +2000. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez remains at +2500. Harris remains the overall Presidential odds favorite at +350, an acknowledgment of Biden’s age entering office (78) and questions as to whether. 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination. 'The most heeded futurists these days are not individuals, but prediction markets, where the informed guesswork of many is consolidated into hard probabilities. GOP Nomination 2024 GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024. $4,212,319 bet so far. Bennet will have his work cut out for him, however, just to stand out in a rapidly settling field and be one of the 20 Democrats who make the first Democratic primary debate stage in late June.

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, and PredictIt How People Bet
Democratic primary betting odds

Hover over candidate pics for market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.
Odds for this page are averaged between FTX.com, Betfair and Smarkets

20.1%

+0.0%

15.4%

-0.3%

10.7%

+0.0%

5.6%

0.2%

4.0%

+0.0%

3.9%

+0.0%

1.9%

+0.0%

1.7%

+0.0%

1.7%

+0.0%

1.5%

-0.1%

1.5%

+0.0%

1.4%

-0.0%

1.2%

+0.0%

1.2%

0.4%

1.0%

+0.0%

0.9%

+0.0%

0.4%

+0.0%

0.4%

+0.0%

0.4%

+0.0%

0.2%

+0.0%

24.9%

53.9%

+0.0%

42.6%

+0.0%

3.6%

Democratic Primary Betting

22.1%

-0.1%

11.3%

0.2%

9.9%

-0.1%

8.1%

+0.0%

4.7%

+0.0%

4.0%

-0.0%

3.9%

+0.0%

2.9%

+0.0%

2.9%

-0.0%

2.5%

+0.0%

2.5%

+0.0%

2.5%

+0.0%

2.2%

+0.0%

2.0%

+0.0%

1.6%

+0.0%

0.8%

+0.0%

16.3%


Books we like:
'No, They Can't'
By John Stossel
'Signal and the Noise'
By Nate Silver
'Random Walk'
By Burton Malkiel
'Radical'
By Maajid Nawaz
'In Order To Live'
By Yeonmi Park

(5% of purchases go to support ElectionBettingOdds.com through Amazon.com's affiliate program. Thank you!)

About these odds and FAQ By Maxim Lott and John Stossel Odds update every minute

Primary

Democratic Primary Betting Market

Copyright 2020, FTX.com