Odds For Canelo Vs Ggg

  • Canelo vs Golovkin 2 odds: Should betting lines be much wider for rematch?
Hot

Gennadiy Golovkin GGG vs Canelo Alvarez Odds COVID-19 has been wiping the sports schedules clean, and many are antsy to see some fights being scheduled in the near future. It’s been cancelation after. All odds as of Dec 23. Canelo’s First Foe for the New Year. The biggest favorite for Canelo’s next adversary is Caleb Plant (+150). Saunders is the second heaviest favorite (+225), and both of these. Here are the latest odds and expert predictions for Canelo vs. Canelo Alvarez vs. Avni Yildirim odds. Sergio Mora: A similar result to 'GGG' Golovkin's last fight.

Odds For Canelo Vs Ggg

Lee ClevelandUpdated

So, you think middleweight champion Gennady Golovkin owned Canelo Alvarez last month despite the verdict?
And you expect Golovkin to be a much stronger favorite in the rematch?

… Not so fast.
Canelo vs Golovkin 1 odds
Prior to September's bout, Golovkin was the slight favorite, hovering around -151. Alvarez was the underdog at roughly +131.
Close betting lines.
However, although action-packed and competitive, some will assert the odds were closer than the fight itself.
Canelo vs GGG 2 odds (as of Oct 2017)
Early rematch odds label the champion as the favorite again at approximately -165 while Canelo is sitting around +135.

Should betting lines be closer for Canelo vs GGG 2? Should they be wider? Or are the betting lines well-placed?
While some will insist the rematch odds should be significantly wider in Golovkin's favor, the intangibles tell us otherwise.
The onus is on Golovkin... Again
As we projected prior to last month's meeting, a fight that was remotely close would favor Canelo, the A-side fighter. In high-profile boxing, the A-side fighter wins a competitive bout 4 of 5 times. (There’s no fixing. That’s simply how it is)

Given Canelo vs GGG was officially a draw, it’s not difficult to see that Alvarez enjoyed the benefit of the doubt in difficult-to-score rounds on judges' cards. Thus, as the A-side fighter, Alvarez entered the bout with a small, unofficial scoring advantage and will do so again in the rematch.
To beat a more popular foe on the big stage, the other guy must usually score a knockout or win on points very comfortably ie. Rigondeaux vs Donaire (2012) or, more recently, Garcia vs Broner.
The first fight - and boxing history - suggest that if Golovkin doesn't score a knockout or clearly and decisively separate himself from Canelo, we are likely to see one of the following results (in order of probability) for the rematch:

1) A wide or narrow Canelo win
2) Another draw
3) A split or majority decision for GGG
Hence, even if Golovkin wins 117-111 on most experts' cards, he'll, at best, probably be awarded a narrow (or split) decision by the judges.

It would behoove Gennady to score one or two 2 point rounds via a knockdown and/or battering Canelo from pillar to post in one or more of the stanzas, as a 10-8 Golovkin round would take some of the pressure off GGG.
GGG is being forced to win two in a row
Gennady Golovkin mighy the world's best boxer but defeating Canelo Alvarez in back-to-back fights is no easy task for anyone.

Canelo's handlers forced Team Golovkin to accept a rematch clause prior to the first fight knowing the odds Alvarez would win 1 of 2 versus Golovkin were much better than his winning a lone fight.


Essentially, we shouldn't be evaluating odds for Canelo vs Golovkin 2 as a single fight; We should be asking ourselves: What are the odds of GGG getting the better of Canelo in back-to-back fights?
And let’s not forget, Canelo has a great team and they will have made adjustments for the rematch based on what happened in the first fight. How many adjustments will GGG's team make? Given last month’s strategy seemed to work (despite the faulty verdict), they might not change their approach much and simply hope the scoring is better the second time around.
Canelo vs GGG odds
Most of us saw Golovkin 'defeat' a very game Canelo in what may have been the latter's most impressive performance as a pro. However, given the above intangibles, the betting lines should remain close for the rematch. In fact, don't be surprised if the odds are even at fight time.
While Golovkin should have been awarded last month's bout, there's no reason to make him a strong favorite in the rematch.
The rematch odds are well-placed thus far.

Related FightSaga StoriesRelated FightSaga Stories

Tagged under:

Canelo Vs Ggg 2 Scorecard

User comments

Already have an account? Log in now

WBA (Super), WBC and The Ring super-middleweight champion Saul 'Canelo' Alvarez defends his newly-acquired belts for the first time on Saturday in Miami, just two months after picking them up.

Canelo outpointed Callum Smith in a dominant display in December to enter the champions' enclosure at 168lbs, and if he can defeat mandatory challenger Avni Yildirim as expected he can move on to an attempt at unifying the division.

WBO champion Billy Joe Saunders and IBF kingpin Caleb Plant are both undefeated and will relish the opportunity to stop Alvarez's scintilating run, but first the Mexican star must not only make a statement against his Turkish adversary but do so without picking up even a minor injury that would leave a Cinco de Mayo fight night up in the air.

Canelo Vs Ggg 2020

Here are the latest odds and expert predictions for Canelo vs. Yildirim.

Canelo Alvarez vs. Avni Yildirim odds

  • Canelo: 1/50
  • Yildirim: 14/1
  • Draw: 30/1

(All odds via Unikrn)

© Provided by DAZN News canelo-yildirim-faceoff-matchroom-ftr

Unikrn unsurprisingly has Canelo as the overwhelming favorite to win. Canelo has only ever been defeated as a professional by the legendary Floyd Mayweather, a result that took place way back in 2013. The Mexican is now at his physical peak and arguably his optimal weight class, and although Yildirim has earned a fair title shot, his resume isn't particularly dazzling and his two career losses came in his two most challenging encounters to date.

More Alvarez vs. Yildirim odds

Will the fight go the distance?

  • Yes: 8/1
  • No: 1/20

Method of victory

  • Canelo by KO/TKO/DQ: 1/10
  • Canelo by decision: 8/1
  • Yildirim by KO/TKO/DQ or submission: 18/1
  • Yildirim by decision: 25/1

Canelo Alvarez vs. Avni Yildirim predictions

Here are the expert predictions for Canelo vs. Yildirim, which airs live Saturday Feb. 27 on DAZN worldwide and on TV Azteca in Mexico .

Barak Bess: Yildirim won't last the distance with Canelo

“You’re asking me how this fight’s gonna play out? First of all, you gotta judge a man by his resume, so who has Avni Yildirim fought? He got knocked out by Chris Eubank Jr in three rounds. He also fought a very good fighter, former two-time champ, in Anthony Dirrell. That fight was stopped in the 10th round but on one judge’s scorecard, Avni was winning. So he’s not green, he’s a good fighter. But there’s levels to this and if I was homeland security I’d say Yildirim is a low level threat while Canelo is a severe threat. So can Yildirim last 12 rounds? I don’t know which round it happens, but I don’t think he does.'

Akin 'Ak' Reyes: Knockout - it ends within six rounds

'There’s no question in my mind that Canelo comes out on top. Now, boxing is the theatre of the unexpected so there’s no telling what could happen, but highly unlikely. I feel Canelo wants to make a serious statement. I think he goes to the body early and looks for a stoppage.This fight does not go the distance and I feel it ends within six rounds. Canelo won’t get the credit he deserves because of the opponent, but he will beat Avni Yildirim.'

Sergio Mora: A similar result to 'GGG' Golovkin's last fight

© Provided by DAZN News Sergio-Mora-033120-GETTY-FTR

'Look, I respect Avni Yildirim and he’s got Joel Diaz in his corner. He’s been training hard, and it’s the opportunity of a lifetime for him. And he’s confident: he feels he can beat the number one fighter on the planet. But there are levels to this game and I just don’t think he is fast enough, strong enough or punches hard enough. I see him getting stopped as soon as Canelo lands something big. Yildirim, if he practices what he preaches, is going to go out on his shield and he will fight back but I just don’t see him doing so past the middle rounds. I think Yildirim is to Canelo what Szeremeta was to Golovkin, and that’s a stay-busy fight.'

Chris Mannix: Yildirim will revert to type

Odds For Canelo Vs Ggg

'No question there is a big talent gap between Canelo and Yildirim. So, the only question is how this fight will end. I think Canelo is going to get a knockout. Joel Diaz said that he has trained Yildirim differently for this fight and that he’s going to attack from different angles. But ultimately, the bout will become a firefight and Avni will revert back to what he knows. When that happens, I think he will put himself in a position to get knocked out.'

Keith Idec: He couldn't handle Eubank, won't handle Canelo

'Yeah, I think Canelo will win this fight by knockout. He’s too big, too strong, too skilled and has an incredible chin. Yildirim is a tough guy and he will come forward but I think that will be his downfall. I don’t think the fight lasts more than five or six rounds. Canelo is a tall order for anyone in boxing and Yildirim isn’t a top five fighter at 168lbs. He’ll be there to be hit, he isn’t the best defensive fighter and he’s been blown out before against Eubank Jr. I don’t know that Canelo will get him out there that quick, but he will get him out there in short order.'