Betting is an act of prediction on an outcome of activity. In sports, betting involves predicting the winning, drawing or losing team. There are many betting strategies, but the determining factor on one to choose depends on the kind of game and the attitude towards risk of the punter. It is wise to choose the safest option among the many, for in that list, others are not entirely proven to work, and their safety is questionable. There are strategies that you should refer to in cases of betting, they are:

Football Hedging System by Tony Langley If you are looking for a football betting system that involves trading on Betfair then look no further than Tony Langley’s Football Hedging System. It is basically a. NFL Betting Systems: The Definitive Guide to the Top Strategies. How big is the football betting market? Forget baseball. America’s favorite pastime is football. The proof is in the pudding. And the Vegas sportsbooks. Football is by far the most bet. A football betting system is a method or strategy used by handicappers to bet on football games. A system’s mission is to find betting value and/or increase the chances of winning wagers. The Exterminator NFL Betting System – My American football betting system has been tested to the breaking point to verify its dominating success. Starting with a $1,000 bankroll, the system generated a final balance of $44,709.59 on 44 bets spread over the years. Looking for the best football match news, today football match prediction banker or football prediction for tomorrows's matches, then Safedraws is the place to be. Best Football Tips For Today. Welcome to SafeDraws, where you have access to the best professional football betting.

Flat betting system

It is a system which the amounts never change. The punter never worries whether it is a win, loss or draw. The wager upon the bet is same regardless of the game outcome. It is for people who are not affected by the possible result of a match. The reason why it is common is that of its safety rate. The system is safe, for you lose only once with the same amount. The punter can handle his losses or wins in betting environment. It also assures a better longer, fun sessions in betting which is the biggest desire of a punter.

The flat bet system provides low rates of risks. The punter benefits from low risk where he suffers less in case of losing a bet. It is so for the wager does not change and is constant regardless of the outcome of any sport.

The system enhances discipline in betting environment. The punter stays strong and sticks to the usual chance whether you win big or lose. You are to follow the order to reduce risk chances. For a beginner in betting, the safest system is the flat strategy. You learn various rules and regulations of a sport while using it. It gives a chance to learn as you bet, the payouts and odds, understand rules without being distracted.

Miller investment management

Their strategy focuses on long-term and adjustable risk returns. For a punter using the approach, you benefit from long-term wins and chances that you can adjust. You have to be a punter who reasons and understands the world of betting. The knowledge of betting ground will help you:

Identify opportunities

As a punter to be on safe side, you have to win. A safe way of winning is carefully finding out about the sports teams. Analyze each and every team according to their previous performance, recent changes in the team, managing officials of the team, the team’s aspirations and motivations. Go through the records of the teams and sport you wish to put your money on. You will find the process that will help identify winning opportunities thus you are sure to gain profit.

Analyze and assess the odds in betting

As a punter, always take your time to examine the odds given in any sport. Assess the reasons behind each odd awarded to a particular team. Know the stakes that are worth and which will benefit you. By so doing, you can predict and put a wager where you are sure to make profits.

Research on various sports

Research is key to knowledge and success. In betting, many different games are involved. Take your time to identify the best set to indulge in betting. There are game’s that are easy to predict than others. Use your research findings to lead you to the best type of game.

Kelly betting system

In the system, a bettor is required to calculate the proportion of the wager on an outcome whose odds are high. In it, your money multiplies significantly thus you can make a big profit. It does not work to those who bet without searching, and it requires thorough search into the betting game. A punter is expected to find out who to put a wager upon and by doing the search, you are sure of the type of team that is worth your money. Also, determine on outcome results you wish to bet on. The betting gives you a chance to bet on various outcomes, can be negative or positive. Choose a team that will make profits. The circumstances are different for every occasion, and it will be wise to know the right time to place a bet. Choose a betting company that offers lottery odds for they differ according to bookmakers in every company. After you accomplish the above, ask yourself why the selected team has the odds awarded and how much that odd deserves staking. Kelly betting criteria allow and make sure you have all the above before placing a bet.

Bank charges on on-line betting

A punter’s primary reason for engaging in betting is to make money. Choose choices that are sure to gain you money. The system where betting money is through your bank is safe to work with, and the transaction is always between your account and the Ladbrokes. You are not charged any transaction fee and regulated on how to use your money. The system benefits the bettor in that; you cannot use your money recklessly, and chances of money loss are limited. Some companies will put back the exact amount from the bank, ensuring the punter never goes bankrupt.

Sure bet strategy

The primary system focus is betting odds variables. Odds vary from bookmakers. Take advantage of the variations to place bets with no loss fear, and risk-free. To use the betting system, you require speed and various accounts of betting in various sites. It is because odds changes quickly.

Conclusion

There are many ways to bet but before indulging in any of them, be aware of its benefits and disadvantages. Know why you are betting so as to choose the right system that will make your reasons happen. In the options, all involves a punter’s way of thinking but the Kelly betting is the only one which the outcome is determined by mathematical calculation thus termed as most accurate. To be sure, combine thinking and calculation in betting.

Source: Free Articles from ArticlesFactory.com

Alex Greene are Senior Editor at Sports Intensity, an online sportsbook review site dedicated to providing objective sports betting advice to the sports betting community. Visit their website

Betfair.com is the biggest sports betting exchange. In Betfair the players bet against each other and not against the Betfair itself. Because of this, the stakes ratios are higher here than anywhere else. Another difference is that in the betting exchange you can not only buy stakes, but also sell them, which opens up new money earning possibilities – sports trading.

The idea behind it is the same as in the currency, stock and product markets – to buy cheaper and sell at a higher price. The difference is that the ratio is affected by the performance of the team or the sportsman.

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Football is the world’s most popular type of sports. Numerous football games take place every day in various countries of the world. To make the games more interesting, trading exchanges offer to predict the outcomes of the games and place bets on them.

Betfair.com also offers this opportunity, as well as a chance to trade or speculate with the stakes. The aim of the trading is to create a situation when, no matter what the outcome of the match is, you are still the winner. The main goal of sports trading is to create a situation when you are in profits no mater what the outcome is. Let`t get to the point!

Here are are 6 proven and profitable Betfair exchange Football trading strategies:

The simplest football trading strategy

Lay The Draw is the most popular Betfair football trading system. This Strategy is mostly used by beginners. If you apply this strategy to the correct type of match, you are almost guaranteed to profit 100% of the time.

The Strategy

The concept of this strategy is very simple – when a goal is scored in a football match, the prices of all the match outcomes (home win, away win or draw) changes. How it changes depends on many factors such as which team scores the goal and the time of the goal.

In this strategy we are trying to lay the draw before the kick-off, and back it at higher price after goal is scored, therefore securing a great profit.

Before the game: Select match by the following criteria:

• Favorite odds is lower than 2;
• Odds on draw is lower than 4;
• In last 3 games there haven`t been 0-0 draw for none of the teams;
• The favorite team scores more than one goal in match on average;
• Head-to-Head between the teams indicates lots of goal (should be within the last two years);
• The liquidity in the market should be at least 40 000.

In-Play:

• If the favorite team scores first, get out of position and green up;
• If the underdog scores first, use the “Metaltone” strategy: back the draw for 50% initial lay stake and lay the underdog for 75% initial lay stake. If there is an equalizing goal, you can then green up an take an overall profit. If there is no equalizing goal and the underdog wins the match, accept the loss (or in some cases small profit) that is sitting on the underdog team and move on to the next game;
• If still 0-0 when the draw price hits 2.0, “red” up and accept the loss.

A Score Grid visualization of this football trading strategy

Socrates strategy is a variation of the Aristotle and Clint strategies. It is designed to maximize profits and reduce the losses and does not require a lot of in play management.

Why this strategy works?

Using exact match selection criteria as in the Aristotle and Clint strategies, the Socrates becomes a simple trading strategy for beginners to implement. We take our positions in the market at the start of the match and only need to make any moves if the score is 0-0, or 1-0 after 60 minutes. Because of its simplicity it is possible to trade multiple matches at the same time.

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The edge in this strategy lies in the selection of right matches, the probability of teams scoring over 2.5 goals and how often these teams play a match where Both Teams are scoring a goal.

In this trade we are looking to win in two markets – Both Teams To Score and over 2.5 goals market to maximize our winnings.

In matches where one side scores 6 goals are often a consolation goal to loosing team which would give us double win.

How this strategy is played?

We are looking for football matches where the odds of Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 goals markets are over 1.80.

In this strategy bets are placed pre-match. Let’s look at example, using 100 euro stake:

• € 40 back bet on Both Teams To Score YES market at odds of 1.80 or more;
• € 40 back bet on over 2.5 goals market at odds of 1.80 or more;
• € 8 back bet on Correct Score 0-0;
• € 12 back bet on Correct Score 1-1.

Correct score grid visualization of Socrates Betfair trading strategy

Bets and odds for Socrates strategy implementation

In the images above you can see a Correct score visualization of outcomes of this strategy. As we can see, the ROI if the bet lands is almost 50%, which is quite a lot.

You do not have to do any adjustments, unless the scoreline is 0-0 or 1-0 after 60 played minutes.

If the scoreline is 0-0 at 60 minute mark, green up 0-0 scoreline and scratch 1-1 scoreline. You will also have to take a hedged red on over/under 2.5 goals and Both Teams To Score markets.

If the scoreline is 1-0 then green up 1-1 scoreline, and make a scratch trade on over 2.5 goals market and take a loss onBoth Teams To Score market.

Any other scoreline will give us an edge in this trade. If the scoreline does not change until 80 minutes then we need to take a look at it and make some adjustment if needed.

At that moment we can exit the trade or stay in it with a hope of win on 1-1 scoreline, over 2.5 or Both Teams To Score. Ideal would be a win in both markets – Over 2.5 goals and BTTS.

What can go wrong?

The downside in this strategy is 0-0 scoreline or two goals scored by one team. We can take an extra insurance position on 0-0 for a winnings of € 50. We can also take a small cover on 2-0 scoreline by backing 2-0 and 3-0 when the score is 1-0.

This is one of the most popular trading strategy on Betfair exchange. Over/Under 2.5 goals market is right next to the Match odds market in terms of liquidity. This Betfair trading strategy is based on teams scoring Over 2.5 goals and that happens a lot!

The strategy

Best Online Football Betting Site

Using this strategy we will use two markets Over/under 2.5 goals market and Correct score market for cover.

Safe Football Betting System Chart

Under 2.5 means, we’d expect 2 or less goals

Over 2.5 means, we need to see at least 3 goals in the match.

Safe Football Betting System Calculator

This strategy is low-risk, because if the favorite scores at least 1 goal, we will be at non-lose point or scratch. Then we will have to wait only for 2 more goals for profit. But this strategy is not for newbies at it requires certain ability to adapt and trade in two different markets at the same time.

Before the game

• Look for games where there is a favorite priced 1.4-1.7;
• Odds on over 2.5 goals are 1.7 or higher

Bets

• Back bet on over 2.5
• Back bets on Correct scores 1-0, 2-0, 1-1. These bets must cover losses on Over/Under 2.5 goals market.

Bets on Correct score market looks like this

As we can see if score turns 1-0 we cant lose anymore as next possible scores are covered (1-1, 2-0) and other possible scores are over 2.5 goals which means profit. If the favourite scores first goal early in the game, we can exit the trade with profit without waiting the game to end. If the odds on over 2.5 goals are higher, we can make a small bet on 0-2 in favor to underdog.

Correct score grid example of over 2.5 goals trading strategy on Betfair

Correct score grid view is one of the ways how to see the full picture of Betfair trading strategies. There is a software called Betpractice ScoreGrid, where you can see on which scorelines you will win and on which loose.

In this example you can see that if the favorite team scores a goal, then we have guaranteed a scratch trade. The only dangerous results are 0-0, 0-1 and 0-2, which are quite unlikely to happen. If wee look at the ROI figures for this football trade, then it is only 18% if there is over 2.5 goals in the match.

What can go wrong?

Of course scoreline 0-0 is the worst, where we loose all our bets in both markets. Therefore if you are watching the game and favorite is not at the best form and score at the halftime is 0-0 it is advised to leave the markets with a loss. Another option is to place a bet from the potential profit on scoreline 0-0. The odds on 0-0 will be shortened to about 4.0. By doing this, the only dangerous scoreline will be 0-1 in favor to underdog.

Summary

Over 2.5 goals is a great strategy for games where you are expecting goals. By the way, you only need one goal for strong favorite and you are in the safe spot! The potential profit is not huge – about 30% of the liability, but if you choose the right games, you will be in long term profits!

The Aristotle trading strategy is Over 2.5 goals market Football trading strategy with insurance positions in correct score market and Under 1.5 goals market.

Why this strategy works?

By doing a statistical research on the probability of over 2.5 goals scored in a football game and entering the market when the odds of over 2.5 goals are in our side.

How this strategy is played?

We’re looking for matches where there is a good statistical chance of both teams scoring, yet a price on over 2.5 goals of at least @1.90 (ideally higher). Where the price of over 2.5 is lower than @1.7 there is no value for us so we must wait to get involved.

In this strategy bets are placed pre-match. Let’s look at example, using 100 euro stake:

• € 58 (or 58% of the stake) back bet on Over 2.5 goals;
• € 14 (or 14% of the stake) back bet on 1-1;
• € 28 (or 28% of the stake) back bet on under 1.5 goals.

This is how pre-match bets on Aristotle trading strategy looks like

In the Correct Score grid above you can see how pr-game bets looks on this strategy. As you will have to implement moves in play, we can not calculate the probable ROI of this trade.

If there will be no goals scored early in the game, the odds of under 1.5 goals market will lower – that will create a profit to cover some of the potential loss on over 2.5 goals which, logically will be moving against us.

From the 23th minute of the game we should green ip Under 1.5 goals market as the first goals statistically are scored from the 24th minute of a match most often.

When the first goal is scored, a part of liability from over 2.5 goals market can be removed, and when the second goal is scored we can already hedge out for a profit.

If the underdog team scores the first goal we can place a lay bet off half our stake on 1-1 in order to reduce our liability on other scores to € 7.

If the result becomes 1-1 we can then lay off one more time for around € 25 to create a scratch on 1-1 and € 20 on all other scorelines.

When a football match goes as expected we can get a solid return of 20-80% of invested money.

Match Selection criteria:

If you want to make money on Betfair Football markets, then you will need to match the right football games with the right trading strategies.

To select the games for this strategy we use following criteria:

• Home team: Average goals scored, conceded, combined average, percentage of Over 2.5 goal games, percentage of Under 2.5, strength of attack and defense
• Away team: Average goals scored, conceded, combined average, percentage of Over 2.5 goal games, percentage of Under 2.5, strength of attack and defense

Then the combined average score and the probability of over 2.5 goals is calculated

In match-ups where the calculated probably is more than 60% we will have a qualified game for trading and will look for odds of the right value to recommend a trade.

What can go wrong?

A dreaded 0-0 draw will make us loos all our stake. We can make an insurance bet on 0-0 or Under 0.5 goal markets for a half of our stake.

In this Betfair football trading strategy we are looking for a strong home side and odds of Over 2.5 goals market of 1.90 or more (ideally – 2.00 to 2.10) and Under 1.5 goals market is 3.60 or more.

The ideal scenario in this strategy is that both teams scores a goal, perfectly the game ends with 2-1 or 2-2.

You should also look in H2H statistics for recent games that has had goals and 1-1 games.

Bets in this strategy are placed before the game starts.

This trading strategy similar to the Aristotle strategy as the returns are 20 to 80% return if the game goes our way.

How this strategy is played:

In this strategy bets are placed pre-match. Let’s look at example, using 100 euro stake:

• € 60 back bet on Over 2.5 goals market;
• € 10 back bet on Correct score 1-1 (sometimes you may split 1-1 and 2-0 to favorite and stake 50-50);
• € 10 back bet on Under 1.5 goals market;
• € 20 back bet on Correct Scores 2-1 and 2-2 (you may back only 2-2, if both sides are evenly strong).

In Clint football strategy the over of 2.5 goals market should be at least 1.90. In some games, where the Scoreline 2-0 seems quite possible you can split the 1-1 and 2-0 Correct score cover bets.

Correct score grid example of The Clint Betfair trading strategy

As you can see in Correct score grid example above, the most dangerous scores in this strategy are 2-0 and 0-2. If the result becomes 1-1 at some point of the game, then we are in a really comfortable trading position as the maximum loss is only 10% of our stake, but probable profit is 200%.

Best Sports Betting Systems

This strategy can be very profitable if you can choose the right games to trade!

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Usually Over/Under bets are placed on 2.5 goals market. This Betfair trading strategy is based on Over 1.5 goals market, which is a more reliable market to place bets, because you will need only two goals in the game to win this bet.

The strategy

In this strategy we will be trading Football under 1.5 goals market.

Under 1.5 goals means, that there will be 0 or 1 goals,

Over 1.5 goals means, that there needs to be 2 or more goals scored in the match.

In this strategy the bets are placed only when the game has started or in-play, but never before the game.

The odds of Under 1.5 goals market tends to raise fast.

On average the odds for Over 1.5 goals are 1.30 or more before the match.

That is not enough to make a profit in long term. That is why you should not enter the market before the game. Sit back and just observe the match. Each minute without a goal will raise the odds.

After 15 minutes in the game, the odds should be at about 1.45.

After 30 minutes in the game the odds should be about 1.70 and if the first half will be goalless the odds usually will rise to 2.0 or more.

And that is what we are looking for! At this time we are going to place our bet.

You can place your bet in the 40. minute of the game if you want or you can wait till the half time. The later you will place your bet, the bigger your profits will be.

When the goal will be scored, the odds will drop significantly, usually back to 1.50 or less, if the goal will be scored till the 60th minute of the game. Then we can immediately trade out for an overall profit.

The time of the first goal will determine the profits. If the first goal will be scored between 46th and 55th minute then profits should be around 50% of bet amount. And it happens regularly!

In this strategy we are looking to place our bets after 30th minute of the game ,remember that.

After this time have passed without goals, check the odds of Over 1.5 goals market and if they are 1.50 or more make your bet.

For extra security, you can also check the in-play statistics.

If the last matches of teams have gone over 2.5 goals for both sides or at least the home side, make a bet.

If the goal is scored in the first 10 minutes of the game, this strategy is not suitable anymore.

Summary

This is a great universal betting strategy. The only minus is that you will have to follow the games – you’ll have to watch the games on your mobile phone or in some live-stream or at least keep an eye of live-scores and that will take a lot of time.

Safe Football Betting System

Recap of this strategy:

• Bet on over 1,5 goals market instead of 2,5 goals;
• Analyze games and bet only on the games that are predicted for over 2,5 goals;
• Do not place bets until the odds for Over 1,5 goals are at least1,50 or more;
• If the goal is scored till 60 minutes of the game, after you have placed a bet, you will make profit if you green up. You can also leave the bet and wait for one more goal.